Ngannou vs Ferreira Prediction, Fight Odds & Betting Tips - PFL

💯 Ngannou vs Ferreira Betting Odds

Among Ireland’s best betting sites, Ngannou can be backed at an average price of 1.32 to defeat Ferreira in Riyadh. These odds imply a 75.75% probability of a win for the ‘The Predator’, who is returning to MMA after his high-profile boxing bouts against Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua.

As for defending heavyweight king Ferreira, he’s priced at a distant 3.20 to retain his PFL crown. So, there’s only a 31.25% probability ‘Problema’ emerging victorious in Saudi, despite the fact that he’s currently embarked on a four-fight winning streak.

Ferreria also boasts an imposing 6 ft 8 in frame, while he has heavy hands and an impressive knockout rate. He has also contested eight MMA bouts since Ngannou last stepped into the Octagon, so the pre-fight odds may not reflect just how evenly matched these two contenders are. Here’s a summary of the latest Ngannou vs Ferreira odds!

Player
Francis Ngannou	1.34	1.30	1.32	1.37
Renan Ferreira	3.27	3.15	3.20	3.10

🏆 Ngannou vs Ferreira Prediction

The PFL has gone all out for this bout, marking Ngannou’s debut with the promotion. As a global superstar and former UFC heavyweight champion, Ngannou is heavily favored to take the PFL belt from Ferreira, who is making his second title defense at the Mayadeen.

Ngannou’s dominance in the UFC is evident. He was virtually unstoppable before transitioning to boxing, achieving a six-fight win streak and earning four ‘Performance of the Night’ bonuses. During this run, he stopped four opponents within a round and secured a unanimous decision against Ciryl Gane at UFC 270.

Known for his striking volume and grappling prowess, Ngannou repels 71% of takedown attempts and often controls opponents on the ground. Ferreira, though less skilled in grappling, has size and striking accuracy that make him a formidable opponent. Standing at 6 ft 8 in, he has a 2-inch reach advantage, which he’ll need to maximize to counter Ngannou’s power and keep him at distance. Ferreira's activity and fitness could be an advantage if Ngannou shows signs of rust.

Despite these factors, Ngannou’s overwhelming power and solid defense could prove decisive. Ferreira’s vulnerability to offensive wrestling may be a crucial weakness. Ultimately, I expect Ngannou to close the distance and secure a late stoppage victory.

⚡ Francis Ngannou Overview

While the 38-year-old Ngannou may have spent more than two-and-a-half years out of the Octagon as he pursued a career in boxing, his MMA record and resume remains enduringly impressive. In fact, he has won 17 of his 20 career bouts (85%), and 12 out of 14 fights under the banner of the UFC.

He has also won his previous six MMA bouts since July 2018, when he dropped a unanimous decision to the wily Derrick Lewis at UFC 226. This sequence includes five knockout or TKO victories, while the Predator also decisively outpointed Ciryl Gane in his last visit to the Octagon on January 22nd, 2022.

Not only in Ngannou one of the heaviest punchers in MMA history, but he tends to attempt a high volume of strikes and regularly looks to outwork his opponents. However, it’s fair to say that Ngannou isn’t the most accurate in his work, as he has landed with 41% of his attempted significant strikes in the UFC and connects with an average of 2.33 blows per minute.

Interestingly, he absorbs 2.16 significant strike per minute, while his strike defence of 41% means that Ngannou often has to rely on his robust chin and endurance (he has never been stopped or submitted in competitive MMA action). The good news for Ngannou is that he has a takedown accuracy of 62% and is more than capable of landing clean in the clinch and on the ground, so he’s a well-rounded fighter with plenty of ways to win.

He's definitely the deserved favourite to win on his MMA return, despite the odds not accurately reflecting the respective qualities of both fighters.

⭐ Renan Ferreira Overview

Ferreira is similarly experienced to Ngannou in the Octagon, having contested 19 MMA bouts during the course of his career. He has won 13 of these in total (68.42%) and been defeated on three occasions, with a further three fights ending in a no contest. The 34-year-old has also been incredibly active of late, having fought four times in 2023 alone and contested eight bouts since Ngannou last stepped into the Octagon.

The giant Ferreira is also a renowned knockout artist, having earned 11 of his 13 career wins by way of KO or TKO (84.61%). He has earned one submission and a single decision, the latter of which was achieved against Carl Seumanutafa in June 2021. Interestingly, Ferreira has also suffered a sole knockout defeat, after Ante Delija stopped him amid a flurry of punches in the first round of their bout at PFL 8.

Overall, Ferreira tends to throw less punches than Ngannou, while his average punch speed is a little lower at 24.73mph. However, he is also an enduringly accurate fighter, landing with 108 of his 154 attempted strikes during four bouts in 2023 (70.12%), three of which ended in knockout victories inside two rounds.

Like his opponent on October 19th, the ‘Problema’ is also highly effective and accurate when on the ground. During a stellar 2023, the Brazilian landed with 37 of his 41 attempted ground strikes (90.24%), so we could be in for a genuinely epic battle whenever the fight is taken to the floor.

However, it should be noted that Ferreira is a less effective grappler than Ngannou, both in terms of his takedown accuracy and defence. This has arguably been one of the key factors in determining the Ngannou vs Ferreira fight odds.

🎁 Ngannou vs Ferreira Betting Offers

Despite Ngannou’s status as favourite here, there’s a sense that he may be a little under-priced given Ferreira’s accurate punching and level of activity. Regardless of how you intend to wager, however, I’d urge you to check out Betinireland’s comprehensive bookie reviews and identify the best free bets and promotions. This can help you to make the most of your bankroll and maximise any potential returns!

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❓Frequently Asked Questions About Francis Ngannou vs Renan Ferreira