US Open Tennis Betting, Odds, Tips & Predictions 2026
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US Open tennis betting opens for the 146th edition of the final major, played at Flushing Meadows from 24 August to 13 September 2026. This US open tennis preview covers outright odds, ATP and WTA tips, the best Irish 'betting sites for tennis, markets, the full schedule and past winners.
📍 US Open Tennis Betting Odds 2026 – Outright Winner
Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka head the US Open tennis odds in 2026, though only one of them arrives as the defending champion. Sinner lost the 2025 final to Carlos Alcaraz in four sets, and the market has still installed the Italian in front at around 1.80, an implied 55.6% chance built on a 55-5 hard-court record over the past 52 weeks and three straight Masters 1000 titles on the surface.
Alcaraz defends at roughly 2.75 but carries a wrist problem that cost him close to four months of the season. The women's market is far more open, with Sabalenka priced near 3.00 for a third consecutive title. That implies 33.3%, and only Serena Williams has won three US Opens in a row in the modern era. Iga Świątek is next at around 6.00. Here are the current tennis US Open betting odds across our five featured books.
US Open Tennis Men's Winner Outright Odds
Odds are subject to change. Please check before placing your bets.
US Open Tennis Women's Winner Outright Odds
Odds are subject to change. Please check before placing your bets.
⌛️ US Open Tennis Betting Tips
Our US Open tennis betting tips target value rather than obvious favourites, and each selection below is sized for a stake you can cover with the free bet offers listed further down this page. Prices move quickly once the draw is published on 27 August, so treat these US Open tennis picks as a starting point and re-check before committing.
US Open ATP Betting Tips
- Tip 1: Split your outright stake between Sinner and Alcaraz: The pair have taken the last eight Grand Slam titles between them, four apiece, since the 2024 Australian Open. At 1.80 and 2.75 the combined implied probability is 92%, so backing both and splitting the stake removes the coin-flip element from US Open atp betting while still returning a profit if either lifts the trophy.
- Tip 2: Oppose Alcaraz in the early rounds: The defending champion returns from a wrist injury that kept him out for close to four months, with only Cincinnati as a competitive tune-up. He was beaten by Botic van de Zandschulp as a 25-1 shot in the 2024 second round, so his first-week match and set-handicap prices carry genuine risk at short odds.
- Tip 3: Take Ben Shelton in the top-American market: Shelton reached the semi-finals at Flushing Meadows in 2023 and his serve is a weapon on a fast Laykold surface. At around 21.00 outright he is a live each-way play, and the narrower top-American market removes Sinner and Alcaraz from the equation entirely.
- Tip 4: Back straight-sets wins on Sinner's early matches: Sinner is 55-5 on hard courts over the past 52 weeks and routinely closes out seeded opponents without dropping a set. Correct-score set betting on his first three matches consistently prices better than his outright, which is the more efficient way to take his form.
US Open WTA Betting Tips
- Tip 1: Sabalenka to reach the final rather than win it: Sabalenka is 39-4 on hard courts over the past year and has made the last three US Open finals, winning in 2024 and 2025. History is the obstacle to the outright: only Serena Williams has won three in a row in the modern era. Reach-the-final markets pay for the form without asking for the record.
- Tip 2: Świątek at 6.00 is the value in the top half: The Pole won here in 2022 and has been the most consistent player on tour across surfaces. At 6.00 she implies a 16.7% chance, which understates a player of her hard-court quality in a draw where the favourite is priced at just 33%.
- Tip 3: Gauff in the best-returner markets: Gauff is the strongest returner in the women's game and won the title in New York in 2023. Break-count and games-won markets reward that skill more reliably than her 8.00 outright, particularly in matches against big servers in the middle rounds.
- Tip 4: Rybakina each-way at 8.50: Rybakina reached the Australian Open final in January and her serve travels well on quick hard courts. Books offering each-way or top-four cover on the women's outright turn 8.50 into a genuinely playable price on a player capable of beating anyone in the draw.
🔎 How we Select Our US Open Betting Tips
Every tip above comes from the same five checks, applied to the men's and women's draws in turn. We publish the reasoning so you can weigh it against your own read of the US Open tennis favourites.
- Surface & Conditions at Flushing Meadows: The US Open is played on Laykold hard courts, the quickest of the four majors, which rewards flat hitting and a heavy first serve. New York heat is the second variable, with late-August temperatures regularly above 30C and humidity that punishes players carrying any physical doubt.
- Player Form & Momentum: We weight the previous 52 weeks on hard courts above career averages. Sinner's 55-5 record on the surface and Sabalenka's 39-4 are the two standout numbers going into 2026, and both were built through the Sunshine Double at Indian Wells and Miami.
- Track Record at the US Open: Past performance in Queens matters because the conditions are unlike any other Slam. Djokovic has four titles here, Sabalenka two in a row, and Świątek one. Hard-court form at the Australian Open in January is the closest comparable read.
- Spotting Value Bets & Underdogs: With the two men's favourites absorbing 92% of implied probability, the field holds most of the value. We look for players whose current 12-month numbers exceed their career baseline, then check whether the price has moved to reflect it.
- Match Format & Physical Demands: Men's matches are best of five and the US Open runs without a scheduled rest day, the only Slam that does. That compounds fatigue across a 15-day main draw and makes injury history a live factor in outright and later-round markets.
📉 US Open Tennis Predictions
Our US Open tennis predictions are published as separate previews for each headline market and go live as the tournament unfolds. Expect a full men's and women's final preview once the draw is out on 27 August, followed by round-by-round analysis through the fortnight. Every prediction published for 2026 will appear in the list below.
🎁 Best US Open Tennis Betting Sites
The best US Open betting sites in Ireland are the ones that price the full draw early, carry deep in-play markets for a tournament running 15 straight days, and price the women's draw as seriously as the men's. Our sportsbook review process weighs those three factors alongside licensing, settlement speed and the terms attached to each welcome offer.
One point separates these five before you compare a single price. Livescorebet is the only one of them authorised by the Irish Revenue Commissioners; the other four operate from Curaçao or Anjouan. Here is how each performs for the US Open.
Livescorebet
Livescorebet is the only brand on this page holding an Irish licence, issued by the Revenue Commissioners under number 1017720 to LiveScore Betting & Gaming (Gibraltar) Limited.
Its in-play tennis markets run off the LiveScore data feed, so prices and scores update together, and a weekly acca offer returns a €5 free bet when you place four €5 accumulators.
New customers can bet €10 and get €50 in free bets, paid as two €25 tokens once the qualifying bet settles at evens or better. Full terms sit in our Livescorebet review.
Tip-top
Tip-top Sports carries the largest welcome package of the five and covers more than 48 sports, with tennis among the best served across its board.
Match-level depth is the draw at a Grand Slam, with set betting, total games and player lines listed from day one, backed by 24/7 support on live chat, email, WhatsApp and Telegram.
New players can receive up to €850 in free bets plus 80 free spins. The first sports bonus is 100% up to €250 on a €25 minimum at 8x wagering, explained in our Tip-top Sports review.
Hiperwin
Hiperwin leans harder into tennis than any other book here, pairing full in-play coverage of ATP fixtures with deep pre-match markets.
Its ComboBoost feature lifts returns on qualifying multi-leg bets, and operator Samaki Limited is verifiable in the Anjouan register under licence ALSI-142406012-FI1.
New customers can get up to €200 plus 200 free spins on a €20 first deposit, carrying 10x wagering at minimum odds of 2.00 on singles. Our Hiperwin review has the rest.
Festivalplay Sports
FestivalPlay Sports built its name on Irish racing festivals and applies the same each-way and best-odds-guaranteed thinking to its tennis pricing.
That makes it the pick for outright and each-way plays on the women's draw, and it runs bespoke price boosts around major championship weekends under a Curaçao licence.
New customers can receive up to €500 on a first deposit with the code FESTIVAL500. Wagering is heavier than most here, so check the play-through in our FestivalPlay Sports review.
Casina Sports
Casina Sports covers 35 betting categories and publishes 0% margin lines on selected events, the strongest single value feature among these five books.
Weekly challenges convert deposits and bet types into coins redeemable for free bet tokens, and Casina holds a Curaçao Gaming Control Board licence issued to 130 Group N.V.
New customers can bet €20 on qualifying markets and get €200, with minimum odds of 1.50 and 6x wagering on deposit plus bonus, the lowest here. See our Casina Sports review.
📌 US Open Tennis Betting Offers
US Open betting offers in Ireland fall into two groups: deposit matches that credit bonus funds you must wager before withdrawal, and free bets released after a qualifying bet settles. Wagering is where they separate. Casina asks 6x on deposit plus bonus, Tip-top 8x and Hiperwin 10x, while Livescorebet issues free bet tokens with no play-through beyond the qualifying bet. Compare that figure before the headline number.
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⚓️ US Open Tennis Betting Markets
The US Open best bets depend as much on picking the right market as picking the right player. A 15-day main draw with no rest day produces roughly 250 singles matches, and the markets below are the ones our featured books price most competitively.
Outright Winner
Outright betting asks you to name the champion before or during the tournament. In 2026 the men's market is unusually top-heavy, with Sinner and Alcaraz absorbing 92% of implied probability between them, while the women's board is far wider with Sabalenka at just 33%. Prices on the favourites shorten as the draw progresses, so early tennis betting generally secures better value than waiting for the second week.
Match Winner
Also called moneyline betting, this is a straight pick on who wins an individual match. Tennis cannot end in a draw, so there is no third outcome to price around and the margins are tighter than in team sports. First-round matches offer the widest gaps in ability, which is where short-priced favourites are most reliable and where the value usually sits with the underdog covering games.
Handicap Betting
Handicap betting lifts the price on a heavy favourite by requiring them to win by a set margin, usually expressed in games or sets. The seeded structure at the US Open keeps the top players apart until the fourth round, so the first week produces regular mismatches where a games handicap of -4.5 or -5.5 pays meaningfully better than the moneyline.
Set Betting
Set betting covers correct score in sets, over/under on total sets, and set handicaps. Sinner's habit of closing out matches in straight sets makes the men's correct-score market one of the more predictable at the tournament, while best-of-three women's matches concentrate the market on a two-set or three-set call.
Total Games
Total games asks whether a match will go over or under a listed number of games, typically between 20.5 and 23.5 for a best-of-three. Fast Laykold courts and strong serving push totals upwards, and tiebreak-heavy matches between big servers are where the over consistently offers value.
Top American and Nationality Markets
These markets ask which player from a given country will finish highest, or which nationality the champion will hold. They remove the two dominant favourites from the equation entirely, which is why Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz look better here than in the outright. No American man has won the title since 2003.
🔦 US Open Key Facts
The US Open is the second oldest tennis major, founded in 1881 and four years after Wimbledon. The 2026 edition is the 146th, and here is the trivia worth knowing before you bet.
- The Richest Tournament in Tennis: The 2025 US Open paid out a record $90 million in total player compensation, the largest purse in the sport's history and a figure the USTA has raised in each of the last four years.
- The Longest Ever US Open Match: The 2024 first-round clash between Karen Khachanov and Dan Evans lasted five hours and 35 minutes, the longest encounter in tournament history, beating the previous record set in 1992 by nine minutes.
- The Longest Ever Wait for a US-Born Champion: It is now 23 years since an American man won the US Open, with Andy Roddick the last to do so in 2003. That is the longest drought for US natives, who dominated the event before the Open Era.
- The Only Slam Without a Rest Day: Play runs daily across the full main draw, unlike Wimbledon and the French Open. The 2026 main draw covers 15 consecutive days from 30 August to 13 September.
- A Two-Man Grand Slam Monopoly: Sinner and Alcaraz have shared the last eight major titles, four each, since the 2024 Australian Open. No other man has won a Slam in that period.
- Sabalenka Chases History: Sabalenka won in 2024 and 2025 and is bidding for a third straight title. In the modern era only Serena Williams has managed that in New York, between 2012 and 2014.
🧨 US Open Tennis 2026 Tournament Schedule
Qualifying and the Mixed Doubles Championship run from Monday 24 August, with the main singles draws starting on Sunday 30 August. The women's final is on Saturday 12 September and the men's final on Sunday 13 September. Irish viewers should note the US Open tennis time difference, with New York five hours behind Ireland, so a 19.00 ET session begins at midnight at home.
🎖 US Open Tennis Past Winners
Carlos Alcaraz arrives as the defending men's champion after beating Sinner 6-2, 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 in the 2025 final. Novak Djokovic remains the most successful active player at Flushing Meadows with four titles, three of them in the last decade.
In the women's draw, Sabalenka is the two-time defending champion and one of nine different winners since 2016. Naomi Osaka is the only other player to win more than once in that period, taking the title in 2018 and 2020.
Men's Singles
Women's Singles
🎗 History of the tournament
The US Open began in 1881 as the U.S. National Championship, played on the grass courts of the Newport Casino in Rhode Island. The women's singles was not contested until 1887, and the men's and women's events were held separately until 1968, when the tournament became the US Open and admitted professionals for the first time.
The first champion was Richard Sears, who won the opening seven editions. He shares the record for most men's titles with fellow Americans Bill Tilden and William Larned, all on seven. The tournament moved to Forest Hills in 1915, switched from grass to clay in 1975, and settled at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in Flushing Meadows in 1978, where it has been played on hard courts ever since.
In the Open Era, Jimmy Connors, Pete Sampras and Roger Federer share the men's record with five titles apiece. Chris Evert and Serena Williams hold the women's record with six each, and Martina Navratilova won nine doubles titles. The venue has taken $600 million in upgrades since 2016, including retractable roofs on Arthur Ashe Stadium and Louis Armstrong Stadium, which ended the rain delays that once defined the second week.
❓ US OPEN BETTING FAQS
Who are the favorites to win the US OPEN Tennis in 2026?
Jannik Sinner heads the men's market at around 1.80 despite losing the 2025 final, on the back of a 55-5 hard-court record over the past year. Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz is next at roughly 2.75. Aryna Sabalenka is the women's favourite near 3.00, chasing a third consecutive title, with Iga Świątek her closest challenger at about 6.00.
Where and how can I bet on the US OPEN Tennis in Ireland?
We have reviewed and ranked five sportsbooks for this tournament: Livescorebet, Tip-top Sports, Hiperwin, FestivalPlay Sports and Casina Sports. Livescorebet is the only one of the five authorised by the Irish Revenue Commissioners, under licence number 1017720. Register an account, make a deposit, then browse the tennis markets and build your bet slip.
What are the betting odds for the US Open?
Full outright odds for the top ten players in both singles draws are listed in the odds tables above, compared across all five of our featured bookmakers. Prices move sharply once the draw is published on 27 August, so check the live odds before placing a bet.
What are the most profitable tennis bets?
No bet type is profitable by default, and results depend on the prices you take. That said, markets that remove the dominant favourites, such as top American or nationality of winner, often carry more value than the outright when two players hold 92% of implied probability between them. Handicap and total games markets also price well during first-week mismatches.
What are the popular Tennis bets for the US Open?
Match winner betting is the most popular, helped by the absence of draws in tennis. Outright betting on the champion, set betting, games handicaps and total games markets all attract heavy volume at the US Open, and live betting is widely used across a main draw that runs for 15 consecutive days.
Who won the 2025 US Open Tennis Men's Final?
Carlos Alcaraz won his second US Open title in 2025, beating defending champion Jannik Sinner 6-2, 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 in the final. It avenged his Wimbledon defeat to the Italian less than two months earlier and was the fourth Grand Slam title of his career at that point.
Who will win the 2026 US Open Women's Tennis Final?
The 2026 women's final is played on Saturday 12 September, so the title is still open. Aryna Sabalenka goes in as favourite after winning in both 2024 and 2025, and a third straight title would put her alongside Serena Williams, the only player to achieve it in New York in the modern era. Our full prediction is published once the draw is made.














Lewis Humphries
A business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and remote casino betting. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.