Timetable | Saturday Oct 19th @00:00 |
Prediction | Anthony Hernandez to win! |
Odds | @ 1.65 |
Bookmaker | DirectionBet Sport |
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![Hernandez-vs-Pereira-banner](/cdn-cgi/image/format=auto,width=141,height=141,quality=80,fit=scale-down/img/site/hernandez-vs-pereira-1.jpg)
Hernandez vs Pereira Betting Odds
If you compare the odds from Ireland’s best betting sites, you can see that Anthony Hernandez is the pre-fight favourite to win this bout. He can be backed to prevail at around 1.62, with these odds implying a 61.72% probability of a win for ‘Fluffy’.
As for Pereira, his average price of 2.21 implies a 45.24% probability of ‘Demolidor’ beating his higher ranked opponent. However, these odds arguably ignore the Brazilian’s eight-fight winning streak in the UFC, with this sequence having also included four ‘Performance of the Night’ awards.
Ultimately, the bout may be a little closer and more keenly contested than the odds suggest, especially as Periera is also unbeaten since his return to middleweight in October 2023.
Player | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Anthony Hernandez | 1.65 | 1.58 | 1.59 | 1.62 |
Michel Pereira | 2.24 | 2.20 | 2.21 | 2.28 |
⚡ Anthony Hernandez Overview
![Anthony Hernandez-banner](/cdn-cgi/image/format=auto,width=400,height=150,quality=80/img/site/hernandez-vs-pereira-7.jpg)
The 30-year-old Hernandez is ranked as the 13th best middleweight in the world by the UFC, while he has won six out of eight bouts with the promotion. His overall MMA career record has also seen him triumph in 12 of his 15 fights (80%), including an impressive streak of five consecutive victories since May 16th, 2020.
Interestingly, eight of the 12 victories recorded by Hernandez have been achieved by way of submission (66.66%). This highlights the Dunnigan-born fighter’s impressive grappling skills, with the anaconda choke one of his preferred finishing moves. Overall, he boasts impressive takedown accuracy of 49% in the UFC, while Fluffy also averages 6.62 takedown attempts per 15 minutes.
Hernandez is also an enduringly accurate striker, landing with 302 of the 508 significant strikes he has attempted (59.44%). He lands an average of 4.30 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing 3.46 blows during the same time period. Unsurprisingly, he has landed 152 significant strikes in the clinch or on the ground, so Hernandez will undoubtedly look to take his opponent down as often as possible.
From a defensive perspective, Hernandez has repelled 63% of the takedown attempts he has faced in the UFC. However, his significant strike defence of just 46% demonstrates a potential weakness against an opponent like Pereira, who is aggressive in his approach and boasts deceptively heavy hands.
Hernandez will certainly need to be wary of Pereira’s power, although he has enough variation and precision in his work to deserve his status as the pre-fight favourite.
⭐ Michel Pereira Overview
![Michel-Pereira-banner](/cdn-cgi/image/format=auto,width=400,height=150,quality=80/img/site/hernandez-vs-pereira-9.jpg)
Pereira is aged 31 but significantly more experienced than his opponent, while his middleweight ranking of 14th puts him just one place lower. Overall, the tough and strong Brazilian has contested 44 bouts during his MMA career, recording a total of 31 victories and a win-rate of 70.45%.
However, he has won nine out of 11 fights under the UFC promotional banner (81.81%) and eight consecutive bouts since being disqualified against Diego Sanchez in February 2020. Periera is clearly a well-rounded fighter too, winning 11 career fights by way of knockout or TKO (35.48%) and submitting a further nine opponents (29.03%). However, eight of his 11 losses have come via decision (72.72%), as he occasionally struggles to control or dominate bouts.
This lack of control is borne out by Demolidor’s fight stats. Although he has attempted considerably more significant strikes than his opponent (1,024), he has landed with just 555 of these for a connection rate of 54.19%. He has also been forced to absorb 3.70 significant blows per minute in the UFC, suggesting that his high punch output may leave him vulnerable to counters.
The good news for Pereira and his fans is that he’s also an exceptional grappler. This is true from both an offensive and defensive perspective, as career takedown accuracy of 55% is higher than his opponents. What’s more, his takedown defence of 94% is simply incredible, while it demonstrates his immense strength and mobility in the Octagon.
He’ll certainly prove a tough nut for Hernandez to crack inside the distance, with only two fighters (Zozimar de Oliveria Silva Jr. and Duško Todorović) having submitted or knocked out Pereira competitively.
🎁Hernandez vs Pereira Betting Offers
As you can see from our detailed bookie reviews, the best Irish betting sites offer a diverse selection of welcome offers. This include free bets and deposit matches, which can boost your starting bankroll however you intend to wager on the bout. Here’s a summary of the best and latest offers.
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🏆Hernandez vs Pereira Prediction
While this may be a headline bout without a title, the clash between Hernandez and Pereira is likely to be a fascinating watch. This is because there’s so little to choose between the two fighters, who both excel as grapplers (especially from a defensive perspective) and can win in a variety of different ways.
However, both fighters differ markedly in their offensive approach. Pereira attempts a high volume of strikes during bouts and likes to fight on the front foot, while constantly closing the distance on his opponents. Conversely, while Hernandez is more selective and precise in his striking, he attempts a much higher volume of takedowns and averages in excess of six takedown attempts per five-round bout.
So, keeping Pereria in range may well be part of Hernandez’s strategy, as this will make it easier to initiate clinches and take his opponent down. Because of this, Demolidor will need to rely heavily on his incredible takedown defence, while simultaneously looking to land blows and outwork Hernandez when he moves into range.
Ultimately, the defensive quality of these fighters and their evenly matched nature could lead to a relatively cagey bout. This will arguably suit Hernandez, who tends to fight with far greater economy and is able to use his wrestling ability as an effective offensive tool. This enables him to dominate and wear down even the most durable opponents, affording him a critical edge in a close fight.
Pereira may also be a little too predictable in his offence, attempting just 1.53 takedowns per 15 minutes and landing 463 of his significant strikes from a permanent position (83.42%). So, I’m tipping Hernandez to edge a tight bout, possibly via a late submission or via a points decision.
My Prediction: Hernandez to Win via Submission or Points Win🥊
❓Frequently Asked Questions About the Hernandez vs Pereira Bout
1️⃣ When is the Fight Between Anthony Hernandez vs Michel Pereira?
This bout will headline the latest UFC Fight Night event, which is scheduled for the UFC Apex in Nevada on Saturday, October 19th. The event’s main card will get underway at approximately 00:00 GMT. Ring walks for the bout between Hernandez and Pereira are expected to take place at around 03:30 GMT.
2️⃣ Where Can I Watch the Bout Between Hernandez and Pereira?
If you’re based in Ireland or the UK and want to catch the bout (or any of the six fights featured on the main card), you can do so via the TNT Sports channel. You can also buy a UFC Fight Pass through the channel, which unlocks access to five additional preliminary bouts. These fights get underway at 21:00 GMT on Saturday, 19th October.
3️⃣ What Other Bouts Are Scheduled on the Anthony Hernandez vs Michel Pereira Main Card?
Aside from Hernandez vs Pereira, you can also watch the bantamweight clash between Rob Font and Kyler Phillips at the latest UFC Fight Night. Brady Hiestand and Jake Hadley will also do battle in this weight class. Charles Johnson is scheduled to take on fellow flyweight Sumudaerji in Las Vegas, while featherweights Darren Elkins and Daniel Pineda will also go head-to-head. The flyweight contest between Matheus Nicolau and Asu Almabayev will complete the main card.
4️⃣What are the Best Anthony Hernandez vs Michel Pereira Betting Markets?
While this bout is likely to be relatively close, there’s value in backing Hernandez to win at a price of 1.65 with Directionbet Sports. If you want to wager on the method of victory, I’d also predict that the bout will be settled via a submission or points decision. Both fighters are also durable and defensively resilient, so there’s likely to be over 2.5 rounds contested at the UFC Apex in Vegas!
Lewis Humphries
A business and iGaming copywriter from the UK, who has a passion for sports betting and remote casino betting. He's reviewed some of the world's leading casino platforms while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.