Gilbert Burns vs Sean Brad Prediction, Fight Odds & Betting Tips - UFC FN

💯 Burns vs Brady Betting Odds

Brady has both youth and form on his side ahead of his bout with Gilbert Burns, while he’s the pre-fight favourite at an average price of 1.54. These odds imply a 64.93% probability of a win for the Philadelphian. Conversely, the 38-year-old Gilbert can be backed at around 2.40 to halt his two-fight losing streak, suggesting that he has a 41.66% of achieving this objective. So, although he’ll start as the underdog in Nevada, ‘Durinho’ clearly boasts enough experience and knowhow to be considered in the win market. You can read our bookie reviews to learn more about your favorite bookmakers but in the meantime, check out the table below showing odds from your favorite best betting sites.

Player
Gilbert Burns	2.40	2.36	2.38	2.45
Sean Brady	1.57	1.50	1.51	1.54

🏆 Gilbert Burns vs Sean Brady Fight Prediction

This is one of the more intriguing UFC Fight Night bouts in recent months, with Burns bringing a wealth of experience to the Octagon for the 30th time in his career. As his nickname suggests, Durinho is also an incredibly durable competitor, as he has yet to be submitted during his stellar MMA career.

Burns is also ranked sixth in the current welterweight division, with Brady two places lower in eighth. However, Brady is a rising star in the weight class, having rebounded from his TKO loss at the hands of Belal Muhammad with a dominant victory over Kelvin Gastelum at UFC on ESPN 52.

He produced an eye-catching submission in the third round here, executing a vicious Kimura after controlling the bout from the outset. This victory highlighted Brady’s skillset in microcosm, as he produced a high volume of accurate strikes while on his feet and subsequently dominated on the ground.

As for Burns, he was blown away by Della Maddalena last time out, while he also struggled to cope with Belal Muhammad’s punch output when being decisively outpointed at UFC 288 in May last year. Even more worryingly, Burns became increasingly ragged in his grappling game and takedown attempts as the bout wore on, contributing to his aforementioned takedown accuracy of 38% in the UFC. Burns can ill-afford such inefficiencies against an in-form Brady, especially with the younger man likely to grow stronger the longer the bout goes. Given that Brady also averages a higher volume of strikes per minute than Burns and is noticeably more accurate, I’m tipping the former to secure the win in Vegas. This will most likely be delivered either via decision or a late submission.

⚡Gilbert Burns Form

Gilbert Burns’ MMA career has now spanned 29 fights and more than 14 years, with the Brazilian-born veteran having record 22 victories in total (75.86%). Burns debuted in the UFC in July 2014, while he has won 15 of his 22 bouts (68.18%) under this promotional banner.

Burns is more of a grappler than a striker, using his advanced Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu skills to submit nine of his 22 MMA victims (40.90%). A further six of his 22 victories (27.27%) have been achieved by way of knockout (or TKO), while has won seven decisions. This means that 31.81% of his wins have been determined by the judges.

However, the bad news for Burns is that he lacks consistency in his grappling, producing a takedown accuracy of just 38% (compared to 57% for Brady). His takedown defense percentage of just 50% is also markedly lower than Brady’s (87%), so he may struggle against an opponent who is a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu too.

Last time out, Burns was stopped by a flurry of strikes in the third round of his bout against Jack Della Maddalena, despite his opponent breaking his forearm early in the fight. He has also lost four of his previous seven bouts since February 2021, with this sequence including a TKO defeat against Kamaru Usman too.

⭐ Sean Brady Form

Brady is seven years’ Burns’ junior, while he has won an impressive 16 of his 17 MMA career bouts (94.11%). This includes a record of six wins in seven UFC bouts since he was signed by the promotion in 2019 (85.71%). Belal Muhammad is the only man to defeat Brady during his MMA career, with TKO loss being administered at UFC 280 in October, 2022.

I’ve already touched on Brady’s exceptional grappling skills and high takedown percentage, with his enabling the Philadelphian to dominate bouts on the ground. To this end, he has either submitted or outpointed 13 of the 16 opponents he has defeated (81.25%), while he was stopped on his feet when he incurred his sole career loss to date.

Obviously, Brady isn’t the a concussive puncher, achieving just three of his 16 career wins by way of knockout (18.75%). Despite this, however, he’s a well-rounded fighter who has landed more significant strikes per minute than Burns (3.77 vs 3.29), while has an accuracy rate of 53% (compared to 47% for his opponent). Brady certainly has youth on his side, and while the pair are relatively evenly matched when it comes to their size dimensions, the Philadelphia-born fighter boasts a once-inch reach advantage. Ultimately, he’s a justified favourite ahead of the bout against Burns, notwithstanding the latter’s experience and durability.

🎁 Burns vs Brady Betting Offers

Despite Brady’s status as the pre-fight favourite, the current odds still imply a 41.66% probability of Durinho recording his first UFC victory since April 8th, 2023. So, regardless of how you choose to wager on this fight, leveraging the best free bet offers and promotions, reading our betting guide for some great tips may prove key if you’re to maximise your starting bankroll. I’ve listed the most competitive free bet offers below, while also providing a direct link through which you can claim them!

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❓Frequently Asked Questions about the Burns vs Brady Fight