Wimbledon 2024 Ladies Final Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds
| Timetable | 15.00 13th July 2024 |
| Prediction | Paolini to win! |
| Odds | 2.20 |
| Bookmaker | DirectionBet Sport |
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Saturday will see the 130th iteration of the Wimbledon Ladies' Singles Championship final, and the 56th such match of the open era. This will pit the women’s seventh seed and French Open finalist Jasmine Paolini against Barbora Krejčíková, who is ranked 32nd in the world and looking to win her second Grand Slam title. Somewhat surprisingly, Paolini is the pre-match betting underdog among Ireland’s best betting sites, with Krejčíková established as a formidable competitor who prevailed in the 2021 French Open. She has now won five successive matches on grass for the first time in her career, too, but can Paolini upset the odds at SW19?
🎾 Wimbledon 2024 Ladies Final Preview
A total of 128 players were entered into the 2024 Ladies Singles draw, including the previous year’s champion, Markéta Vondroušová. However, she was eliminated by Jéssica Bouzas Maneiro in the first round, while world number one and five-time major winner Iga Świątek exited in round three. When Krejčíková defeated Elena Rybakina in the last four, we were guaranteed a first-time Wimbledon Ladies’ champion for the seventh consecutive renewal of the competition. So, let’s take a closer look at the last two women standing and their pedigree ahead of the 2024 final.
Jasmine Paolini
It has been a breakthrough year for the dynamic and aggressive Paolini, who reached the fourth round of a Grand Slam tournament for the first time at the Australian Open in January. This saw her rise to a career-high WTA ranking of 24th despite her eventual defeat to Anna Kalinskaya.
She then reached her maiden major quarterfinal at the French Open, where she subsequently defeated Elena Rybakina and claimed her first ever top-five victory at a Slam. Mirra Andreeva was then vanquished in the last four, but Paolini’s hopes were subsequently dashed by a dominant Iga Świątek in the final at Roland Garros.
Incredibly, Paolini arrived at SW19 having never won a singles’ match in the Wimbledon Championships. However, she broke this duck with a win over Sara Sorribes Tormo in the first round before overcoming Greet Minnen, Bianca Andreescu, Madison Keys, Emma Navarro and Donna Vekić to reach her second successive Grand Slam final. In doing so, she became the woman to reach the finals of both the French Open and Wimbledon in the same year as Serena Williams in 2016.
This is a remarkable ascent, while Paolini’s improved form on grass is largely the result of her explosive groundstrokes, speed of movement and agility. She has also coped well with the transition from clay to grass, which negates the excessive top spin that she uses on her forehand. She’s also in exceptional form, and while Paolini will start as the slight underdog on Saturday, she may never have a better chance to win at SW19.
Barbora Krejčíková
While Krejčíková is ranked 32nd in the world (25 places lower than Paolini) and only entered Wimbledon as the 31st seed, she already has a Grand Slam title to her name, having won the French Open in 2021. This victory came on her major final debut and just her fifth main draw singles appearance on the WTA Tour.
However, she has struggled to kick on since then, while this year saw her arrive at SW19 in relatively poor form. She incurred successive first-round losses at the 2024 Mutua Madrid Open, the Internationaux de Strasbourg and the French Open, for example, while Krejčíková remained without a singles title since September 2023.
Despite this, she has thrived at Wimbledon, reaching only her second ever WTA singles final on grass. She defeated Veronika Kudermetova, qualifier Katie Volynets and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (who eliminated the defending champion) in the opening three rounds, before overcoming the 11th seed Danielle Collins and Jelena Ostapenko in the last eight. Elena Rybakina was then vanquished in three superb sets as Krejčíková booked her place in the showpiece final.
Interestingly, Ostapenko beat Krejčíková in her previous grass court final in two keenly contested sets at the Birmingham Classic last June. Although she may lack pedigree on this surface, however, she has a powerful all-court game and strong serve that’s highly effective on grass. Crucially, she possesses a complete net game, too, which could prove crucial in the Wimbledon final.
📊 Previous Wimbledon Winners
As we’ve touched on, 2024 will see a first-time Ladies champion crowned at Wimbledon for the seventh consecutive year. Serena Williams last bucked this trend when she won her seventh title at SW19 in 2016. Below, you can see an at-a-glance summary of the Women’s Singles champions since 2014, alongside the players who they defeated in the final and the eventual scoreline.
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Final Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Petra Kvitova | Eugenie Bouchard | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 2015 | Serena Williams | Garbiñe Muguruza | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 2016 | Serena Williams | Angelique Kerber | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 2017 | Garbiñe Muguruza | Venus Williams | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 2018 | Angelique Kerber | Serena Williams | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 2019 | Simona Halep | Serena Williams | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 2020 | No Competition Due to Covid-19 | ||
| 2021 | Ashleigh Barty | Karolína Plíšková | 6-3, 6-7(4-7), 6-3 |
| 2022 | Elena Rybakina | Ons Jabeur | 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 2023 | Markéta Vondroušová | Ons Jabeur | 6-4, 6-4 |
🏆 2024 Wimbledon Ladies Final Prediction
This is a surprising and unpredictable Wimbledon Ladies' final, with neither Paolini nor Krejčíková known for their performances on grass. The latter will start as favourite here, thanks in part to her previous Grand Slam win at the French Open and extensive experience in women’s doubles finals.
She also possesses an aggressive all-court game, which is founded on a strong and incredibly consistent serve. However, Paolini’s speed and movement can help to negate this weapon, with her ability to defend from the baseline having played a key role during her march to the SW19 final.
If she’s able to return a high enough percentage of Krejčíková’s serves, she should be able to dictate play with her imposing ground strokes. Remember, Paolini is also in superb form overall, and although she was on court for 2 hours and 51 minutes during her record semi-final win over Donna Vekic, I’m tipping her to prevail once again here.
My Wimbledon Ladies Final Prediction: Jasmine Paolini to win.
⭐ Wimbledon 2024 Ladies Singles Final Betting Tips
Whether you intend to wager on this match using your real money bankroll or any available free bets that you have, it’s important to identify the best value lines and markets. So, I’ve prepared some expert betting tips and insights to help get you started!
Betting tip 1: Back Jasmine Paolini to Win Outright: The 28-year-old Czech Krejčíková definitely has the greater Grand Slam pedigree, which is why the pre-match odds imply just a 45.45% probability of a win for Paolini. However, the Italian has enjoyed a stellar 2024 so far and evolved to become a highly capable grasscourt player, especially when you consider the quality of her return and cross-court movement. I think that form and momentum could also prove key here, so consider backing Paolini to win outright at the competitive price of 2.20 with DirectionBet.
Betting tip 2: Back The Match to go the Distance: Although just two of the previous 10 Ladies Singles finals have been decided over three sets, both instances have occurred since 2021. Both Paolini and Krejčíková contested three-set semi-finals too, with the former having to come from behind to defeat Donna Vekić in the longest-ever women’s last-four clash at Wimbledon. Ultimately, neither of the finalists is dominant on grass, so I expect an incredibly close match in which both players enjoy periods where they’re in the ascendancy. You can bet on three sets being contested here at a price of 2.45 with Sportaza Sports.
Betting tip 3: Back Over 23.5 Games Being Contested: Not only do I expect this match to go the distance, but each of the sets will be close and keenly contested. Both players’ serve could be vulnerable on centre court, with Paolini’s defensive game and ability to return from the baseline particularly impressive. Paolini may also look to engage in lengthy baseline rallies when she’s in control of a point, whereas Krejčíková will use her excellent net game to create variation and disrupt her opponent. Currently, the odds imply a 45.45% probability of over 23.5 games being contested in the final, and you can get on this at the appealing price of 2.20 with Sportaza Sports.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about Wimbledon
1️⃣ What Are the Best Betting Sites for the 2024 Wimbledon Ladies Singles Final?
Here at Betinireland, we’ve reviewed and ranked the best betting sites for the 2024 Wimbledon Ladies Singles Final. Our top picks include DirectionBet, Sportaza Sports and Betalright Sports, each of which is offering an extensive and diverse range of markets and highly competitive odds.
2️⃣ Who Will Win the 2024 Wimbledon Ladies Singles Final?
Ultimately, there’s little to separate Jasmine Paolini and Barbora Krejčíková, despite the former’s higher WTA ranking. So, I expect a tight and keenly contested final, in which both players are likely to experience significant peaks and troughs. However, Paolini is in better form and has a superb defensive game, so I’m tipping her to win her maiden Grand Slam title at SW19.
3️⃣ Have Paolini and Krejčíková Ever Played Before?
Interestingly, Paolini and Krejčíková only ever met once before, during qualifying for the 2018 Australian Open. Here, Krejčíková dropped just three games to the Italian in a dominant display, but both players were relatively inexperienced back then and have improved significantly since. This is particularly true in the case of Paolini, who is set to appear in her second successive Grand Slam final!
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced sports writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Irish betting sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.
