Australian Open Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - Men's Finals 2024

mens-australian-open
Timetable 14th-28th January
Prediction Djokovic to win
Odds Novak Djokovic to win @2.10
Bookmaker Dachbet Sports
Djokovic to win
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The Australian Open is the first of four tennis Grand Slams in the calendar year, so it draws in plenty of attention from sports lovers all around the world. Not only do people tune in to watch all of the entertainment and drama, but many also enjoy doing a spot of tennis betting too. The 2024 Men's Australian Open will be taking place from the 14th to the 28th of January, and below I have served you up my Australian Open men's prediction.

🎾 Australian Open Betting Preview

There will be 128 players participating at the Australian Open, and the format is a straight knockout until only one player is left standing. As a result, there will be a total of 64 matches that you can do a spot of tennis betting on. Below I am going to take you through four players who I believe are in with a shout of lifting the Norman Brooks Trophy. Underneath each player, you can find the top 2024 men's Australian Open odds that the best betting sites are offering.

1️⃣Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic is the favourite with the top bookmakers to go on and win the 2024 Australian Open, which is not a surprise when you consider how dominant he has been at this event. He has won this title no fewer than 10 times, including the four last times that he has competed - he had to sit out of the 2022 edition due to not being granted a Visa. He recently lost to Alex de Minaur in the United Cup, which ended his 43-match winning streak in Australia. In this defeat, he did pick up a wrist injury, but this should not cause any long-lasting issues ahead of the big Grand Slam.

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2️⃣ Carlos Alcaraz

With Rafa Nadal coming to the end of his tennis career, Spanish hopes of success in future big tennis events will be handed to Alcaraz. At just 20 years old, he has already shown his talent, winning the US Open in 2022 by beating Casper Ruud, and the 2023 Wimbledon by beating Djokovic. He causes his opponents all sorts of issues with his aggressive play and his drop shot is a key part of his success as many players struggle to read it. He is yet to make it past the 3rd round of the Australian Open, which is something you might want to keep in mind when betting on the outright winner.

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3️⃣ Jannik Sinner

The 22-year-old Italian has ten career titles under his belt, but this does not include a Grand Slam title. The closest he has come to winning one is making it to the semi-final of Wimbledon last year. When it comes to the Australian Open, he made it to the last eight in 2022, but he will be confident of going further this time as he has received a favourable draw. He could have a quarter-final clash against de Minaur or Rublev, before taking on Djokovic in the last four. If he does face the Serb, he will head into the match full of confidence as he beat him twice towards the end of last year.

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4️⃣ Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev has made it to the final of the Australian Open on two occasions, in 2021 and 2022, and lost to Djokovic and Nadal. He has just the one Grand Slam under his belt, which is too few for a player of his quality. He has been drawn to take on a qualifier in the first round, while he could take on the likes of Holger Rune and Grigor Dimitrov. If he makes it to the semi-finals, then he might land himself a clash against Alcaraz, whom he lost to on three occasions in 2023. He lost 18 of his 84 matches in 2023, picking up five titles along the way.

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📊 Australian Open Winners

When you are betting on any type of sporting event, it is always wise to have a look at some of the previous winners before you dive in and place your wager. Some players excel in certain competitions, and just always seem to bring their A-game. Also, winning is something that breeds success because players learn what it takes to win big events or at least go deep in the competition. Below you can find the previous ten winners and runners-up of the last ten Australian Open events.

YearWinnerRunner-upFinal Score
2014Stan WawrinkaRafael Nadal6-3, 6-2, 3-6, 6-3
2015Novak DjokovicAndy Murray7-6, 6-7, 6-3, 6-0
2016Novak DjokovicAndy Murray6-1, 7-5, 7-6
2017Roger FedererRafael Nadal6-4, 3-6, 6-1, 3-6, 6-3
2018Roger FedererMarin Cilic6-2, 6-7, 6-3, 3-6, 6-1
2019Novak DjokovicRafael Nadal6-3, 6-2, 6-3
2020Novak DjokovicDominic Thiem6-4, 4-6, 2-6, 6-3, 6-4
2021Novak DjokovicDaniil Medvedev7-5, 6-2, 6-2
2022Rafael NadalDaniil Medvedev2-6, 6-7, 6-4, 6-4, 7-5
2023Novak DjokovicStefanos Tsitsipas6-3, 7-6, 7-6

🏆 Australian Open Prediction

So, when it comes to the Australian Open men’s winner, who do I think will get their 2024 off to the best possible start? Well, to be honest, there is only one person that I would put my money on, and that is Novak Djokovic. He has dominated this competition, winning it a total of ten times, and always seems to bring his A-game to Melbourne. Before his recent loss to de Minaur, he had won 43 matches in a row Down Under. If anyone is to prevent Djokovic from claiming his 25th Grand Slam, then they will need to put on one hell of a show.

My Australian Open Prediction: Novak Djokovic to win.

⭐ Australian Open Betting Tips

So, now that you know who I believe will go on and win the 2024 Australian Open, I am going to give you some other Australian Open men’s betting tips that you should keep in mind if you decide to make use of the Australian Open men’s odds. As always, when you are betting on any sport, make sure that you gamble responsibly.

Who Are the Dark Horses?

Every sports event has a dark horse, and some of the players who I think you should keep an eye on who are not among the favourites include the likes of Tommy Paul, Frances Tiafoe, Alex de Minaur, and Ben Shelton. I feel that these four players have what it takes to go deep in this competition, and maybe even walk away with a shock win.

Top Tip 1: If you do not like the odds that the bookmakers are offering for Djokovic to lift the title, or if you just do not want to place a bet on him for whatever reason, then I recommend that you put some money on de Minaur as a dark horse. He recently became the first person to beat Djokovic in Australia since 2018 and he is now the first Aussie to enter to top ten since Lleyton Hewitt way back in 2006. The best he has done in his home tournament to date is a fourth-round exit, but I expect him to go deep this time around.

Each Way Betting

In tennis, you can place an each-way bet, which is where you will get some sort of return if your chosen player makes it to the final - obviously, if your selected player wins the match, you will get a better return. If you want to place an each-way bet, then here are some stats to keep in mind:

  • The previous ten runners-up were ranked no lower than 9th in the world.
  • Eight of the previous ten winners were ranked 5th or higher in the rankings.
  • The world number 1 has only one four of the last ten Australian Open titles
  • Nine of the previous ten winners had at least one Grand Slam under their belt - Stan Wawrinka was the exception.

Top Tip 2: If you want to place an each-way bet, then I would consider putting a bet on Daniil Medvedev. He has a good chance of making it to the final for the third time, and his odds are high enough for some decent each-way returns were he to get to the Aus Open men's final and finish second once again.

Who Would I Not Bet On?

In each big sports event, there will always be one player who fails to live up to the quality that they undoubtedly have. Many punters will have backed them to do well, and they will end up counting their losses when they crash out of the competition early.

Top Tip 3: One player that I would not recommend betting on at the 2024 Australian Open is Stefanos Tsitsipas as he had quite a horrendous 2023. From the 74 matches that he played, he won just 67.6% of them. He made it to the final of this competition last year, but then his season just went downhill from there. His main issue seems to be that his opponents have worked out that his one-handed backhand is poor. He also has his dad as his coach, who is not a recognised tennis coach.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions About the Australian Open

What Are the Best Betting Sites for the 2024 Australian Open?

Any top betting site that is serious about what they do will offer competitive odds and market variety for the 2024 Australian Open. However, three sites that I recommend highly for betting on this competition include Dachbet Sports, Betiton, and Betway.


Who Will Win the 2024 Australian Open?

There are a handful of players who will think that they have what it takes to go on and lift the 2024 Australian Open, but the one player who I would put my money on is Novak Djokovic. The Serb has a brilliant record Down Under and has won this competition a total of ten times. Someone will have to play out of their skin if they are going to dethrone.


Who Has the Most Australian Open Titles?

Djokovic has the most Australian Open titles as he has ten under his belt. To give you an idea of his dominance, this is four more titles than Roger Federer, who is considered by many to be one of the greatest tennis players ever.

Djokovic to win

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

about-author-sheldon

This 2024 men's Australian Open prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, so feel free to feel a bit of pity for him. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a number of years now and has written a large number of predictions for a variety of sports, including GAA, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.

You can have a read of more of my predictions below: