Memorial Tournament Final 2023: Outright Winner Odds, Betting Tips and Prediction

Memorial Tournament Prediction
Timetable Sunday 4th June
Prediction Rory McIlroy to Win!
Odds Rory McIlroy to Win @ TBA
Rory McIlroy to Win!
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The 2023 Memorial Tournament is one of the richest invitational events on the PGA Championship tour, and will run between Thursday, June 1st and Sunday, June 4th this year. Below, you’ll find my Memorial Tournament final prediction, betting guide for this year, and analysis of the most likely winners!

🏆 Memorial Tournament Prediction

Final prediction

While the final field for the 2023 Memorial Tournament has yet to be confirmed, the world’s top five players have all confirmed their attendance. I expect the consistent Scottie Scheffler (who tied second and finished just two shots behind winner Brooks Koepka at the recent PGA Championship) and Rory McIlroy to be the biggest challengers here, with the Muirfield Course in Ohio favouring accuracy over raw power.

The course’s excess of par fours and long pars threes certainly suit McIlroy’s perfect swing and markedly improved iron game, while the Ulsterman has been in relatively good form of late. So, although I expect him to be challenged by Scheffler and the excellent Collin Morikawa (who has the best iron game on the tour and excellent driving accuracy in 2023), my Memorial Tournament winner prediction is that McIlory will claim his first career triumph at Muirfield.

🏌️‍♂️ Memorial Tournament Betting Preview with Odds

Now, let’s take a closer look at the three most likely winners at Muirfield and the latest sports betting odds being offered by the best Memorial Tournament final bookies.

Rory McIlroy

I’ll start with McIlroy, who has endured a mixed 2023 overall. While he started off the year by winning the Hero Dubai Desert Classic, he subsequently missed the cut at the US Masters and has struggled with his driving game and accuracy for much of the year.

However, he has improved markedly of late, while he managed to finish 2-under par and tie 7th in the recent PGA Championship in New York.

Remember, the course at Muirfield also suits McIlroy’s well-rounded iron game and consistent hitting ability, so he’s well-placed to challenge and add to his career haul of 23 PGA Tour titles.

Outright Winner Odds

Scottie Scheffler

While the 26-year-old Scheffler may have narrowly missed out on PGA Championship glory, the fact that he tied for second highlighted his enduring consistency.

After all, he also won the Masters in 2022 and placed second in the US Open towards the end of last year, before cantering to victory at the coveted Players Championship by a margin of five shots in March.

Such performances are underpinned by a solid and consistent game, with Scheffler ranking 22nd for driving accuracy in 2023 and in possession of excellent iron and putting skills. It should also be noted that the American’s performance at Oak Hill saw him return to number one in the world rankings.

Outright Winner Odds

Collin Morikawa

In terms of raw ability and performance statistics, Collin Morikawa should be among the frontrunners at every tournament. After all, he ranks fourth for driving accuracy in 2023 with a score of 69.9% in relation to the number of fairways hit, while he’s widely considered to have the best iron game on the tour.

The accurate Morikawa, who has four PGA Tour wins and two major titles to his name, will certainly be among the key contenders at Muirfield, and offers exceptional value as an each-way bet.

The only concern about Morikawa is that he occasionally struggles under pressure, as showcased when he lost a six-shot lead after 54 holes at the Sentry Tournament of Champions back in January.

Outright Winner Odds

⭐ Memorial Tournament Final Betting Tips

I’ve also prepared some Memorial Tournament final betting tips to help you navigate the markets and make the most of your bankroll.

Review Key Player Stats

Statistical analysis is key when engaging in any kind of golf betting, but it’s important to focus on the performance metrics that are most relevant to the course. In the case of Muirfield and the Memorial Tournament, two of the last three winners have ranked first for the number of ‘strokes gained tee-to-green’, including Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm. So, your Memorial Tournament outright picks should prioritise players with a healthy percentage of greens in regulation and a relatively low scoring average.

Favour American Picks

Even a cursory glance at the recent Memorial Tournament winners reveals the dominance of US players, with the tournament held at the iconic Murfield course in Ohio every single year. In fact, American players have prevailed nine times in the last 12 tournaments dating back to 2011, with Patrick Cantlay winning twice during this period. So, you’d be wise to reflect this in your Memorial Tournament outright winner betting and each-way selections.

Consider the Merit of Betting Outsiders

On a similar note, the last 12 tournaments have also produced three winners who have never appeared in the PGA Tour top 10; namely Bill Horschel, William McGirt and David Lingmerth. The 2017 winner Jason Duffner closed out that year ranked 80th, so you may want to find room in your bankroll to back one or more high priced outsiders. Just be sure to stake a nominal amount, while analysing form and statistics to choose the most likely Memorial Tournament 2023 outside winners.

📊 Previous Memorial Tournament Winners

YearWinnerScoreParRunner-Up
2018Bryson DeChambeau27315-under An Byeong-hun and Kyle Stanley
2019Patrick Cantlay26919-underAdam Scott
2020Jon Rahm2799-underRyan Palmer
2021Patrick Cantlay27513-underCollin Morikawa
2022Billy Horschel27513-underAaron Wise

❓ Frequently Asked Questions About the Memorial Tournament Final Betting

How much did the winner get at the Memorial Tournament?

The Memorial Tournament has increased to roughly an impressive €18.5 million ahead of the 2023 iteration, with the winner alone set to bank €3.4 million.


Who has the best bets to win the Memorial Tournament?

The Memorial Tournament final betting odds have not been released at the time of writing, so I cannot determine which sportsbooks are offering the best value. However, Ladbrokes offer access to daily price boosts that can be used on Memorial Tournament winner betting, while BoyleSports enables you to construct your own bespoke event wagers.


What are the odds for the Final of the Memorial Tournament 2023?

While the Memorial Tournament winner odds have not yet been released, I expect world number one Scottie Scheffler to start as the favourite. Rory McIlroy will be competitively priced too, as will Collin Morikawa and two-time winner Patrick Cantlay.


Where Can I Bet on the Memorial Tournament Final?

You can place your Memorial Tournament final bets at any of Betinireland’s recommended sportsbooks. You can make your final selection based on criteria such as the available markets, the ante post odds and Memorial Tournament final betting offers.

Rory McIlroy to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries iGaming and Sports Betting Expert

Lewis Humphries is an experienced sportswriter and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about horse racing and sporting events from across the UK and Ireland, including the Irish Grand National, the Cheltenham Gold Cup and multiple golf and greyhound race meetings. He’s also providing extensive coverage of multiple sports betting events through 2023.

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