United States Grand Prix Prediction, Betting Odds & Tips

US Grand Prix - Key Points

• Lando Norris is now 52 points off the Drivers’ Championship lead, with six races still to contest. However, while current leader Verstappen is now winless in eight races, he has still triumphed in 26 of the last 40 GPs hosted since the start of the 2023 season.
• A total of seven different drivers have now taken the checkered flag in the 2024 F1 season. This is the highest number since the 2012 campaign, when eight drivers finished first in an incredibly tight Drivers’ Championship.
• Lando Norris has recorded the fastest lap in three of the last four races. This is no surprise given how quick and powerful the McLaren cars are, while Norris and his teammate Piastri should also thrive on the medium-to-high downforce track at the Circuit of the Americas.

US Grand Prix Betting Odds

Once again, Lando Norris is the favourite to win the US Grand Prix in Austin. He can be backed at around 2.05 to prevail with Ireland’s best betting sites, implying a 48.78% probability of him recording a fourth victory of the 2024 season. Interestingly, defending champion Max Verstappen is priced at 5.05 to return to winning ways at the Circuit of the Americas. The Dutchman’s odds have shortened following his second place finish in Singapore, which saw him claim a spot on the podium for just the second time in six outings. He has also won three consecutive races in Austin. Verstappen’s odds imply a 19.80% probability of Verstappen extending this streak in 2024.

You can bet on Oscar Piastri to win the US Grand Prix in 2024 at an average price of 5.80. Although these odds imply just a 17.24% probability of the 23-year-old triumphing, he has earned five podium finishes in the previous six races and will thrive on a rapid Circuit of the Americas track. Here’s confirmation of the latest US Grand Prix betting odds:

Pilot
Lando Norris	2.00	2.05	2.07	2.07
Max Verstappen	5.50	5.05	5.00	5.00
Oscar Piastri	6.00	5.75	5.80	5.80
Charles Leclerc	7.50	7.75	7.80	7.80
Lewis Hamilton	17.00	16.60	17.00	17.00
George Russell	17.00	17.20	17.00	17.00

You can also head over to our bookmaker reviews section to learn more about your favorite betting sites and also take advantage of their free bets.

Circuit Breakdown and Race Condition

• Designer: Hermann Tilke (in collaboration with HKS)
• Opening Date: October 21, 2012
• Inaugural Ceremony: Opened by Mario Andretti, the 1978 Drivers’ Championship winner

Track Characteristics

• Length: 5.514 km
• Suitability: Designed for quick and powerful cars
• Downforce: Medium-to-high
• Notable Features:
  • High-speed turns
  • Expansive first turn for potential overtaking

Corner Comparisons

• Similarities to Other Tracks:
  • Turns 3-6 resemble Silverstone's Maggotts and Becketts
  • Similarities with Suzuka track in Japan
  • Turns 12-15 akin to Hockenheim's stadium section

Other Events Hosted

• Grand Prix motorcycle racing
• NASCAR Cup Series
• FIA World Endurance Championship

Our US Grand Prediction Betting Tips

If you’re going to bet on the US GP, you’ll first need to identify the best value markets. In order to help inform your individual picks, I’ve also prepared some expert US Grand Prix betting tips and insights. So, here’s how you can make the most of your real money bankroll and available free bets!

• Race Winner – Max Verstappen: Despite the form of Norris and Piastri and McLaren’s enduring speed advantage, I expect Red Bull to introduce some critical upgrades ahead of the US Grand Prix. Similarly, the Circuit of The Americas has been resurfaced ahead of the race, creating a smooth track that should suit the RB20. Max Verstappen has also dominated in Austin in recent times, winning on three consecutive occasions since 2021 and prevailing by an impressive +10.730 seconds from Lando Norris last season. So, I’m tipping the Dutchman to end his winless streak in Texas, and you can get on this at a price of 5.50 with Directionbet Sport.
• Points Finish – Oscar Piastri: While I expect Verstappen to win the US Grand Prix in 2024, there’s no doubt that McLaren boast an innate speed advantage that will be amplified by the Circuit of The Americas track. This means that both Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri will be incredibly competitive and likely to contend for a podium finish, especially when you also factor in their respective form. However, Piastri has finished in the top three in five of his last six races (winning twice during this sequence), while he offers slightly superior value at a price of 1.53 with Sportaza Sports.
• Fastest Lap Time – Lando Norris: Although Verstappen and Red Bull narrowed the gap on their closest rivals at the Marina Bay Circuit in Singapore, it should be noted that the Dutchman’s fastest lap was still more than second slower than Lando Norris (1:34.925 vs 1:35.967). Norris has also recorded the fastest lap in three of his last four GP appearances, while he has been markedly quicker than teammate Piastri in the previous seven races (since Silverstone in July). So, I’m tipping Norris to record the fastest lap once again at the Circuit of The Americas and produce another highly consistent performance!

Our 2024 US GP Prediction?

Given the track's design and the unpredictable Texas weather, the race at COTA is likely to be exciting, with strategies and tire management playing a critical role. McLaren’s speed and Ferrari’s tactical approaches could make for an engaging battle behind Verstappen, who remains the clear favorite after winning 12 of the last 13 Grand Prix events..