Timetable | 25th August 2024 @ 14:00 GMT |
Prediction | Max Verstappen to Win! |
Odds | 3.00 |
Bookmaker | DirectionBet Sport |
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It has now been nearly a month since the last Formula 1 race was contested, with Lewis Hamilton winning a thrilling Belgian Grand Prix by just +1.173 seconds from Oscar Piastri after George Russell’s dramatic post-race disqualification. The drivers and their teams now head to the iconic Zandvoort Circuit in the Netherlands, which is the home of defending F1 champion and current Drivers’ Championship leader Max Verstappen. However, the Dutchman is now winless in four races since triumphing in Spain on June 23rd and will be desperate to get back to winning ways in front of his home fans. But will he achieve this objective, or could Verstappen’s losing run continue in Holland?
📋 Dutch Grand Prix - Some Key Statistics
- Max Verstappen has won all three Dutch GPs since the return of the race to the F1 calendar in 2021. He has also achieved three consecutive poles at the Zandvoort Circuit and has been the dominant driver throughout.
- A fourth career win here for Verstappen will see him equal the all-time record set by former British driver Jim Clark. He prevailed at the Zandvoort Circuit in 1963, 1964, 1965 and 1967.
- The average winning margin at the Dutch Grand Prix is 12.470 seconds. However, five races at the circuit have been won by less than a second, while a further nine have been won by less than five seconds.
💯 Dutch Grand Prix Betting Odds
There has been some speculation about which driver will start the 2024 Dutch GP as favourite. However, Betinireland’s best betting sites have made home favourite Verstappen the pre-race frontrunner, with his average odds of 2.75 implying a 36.36% probability of the Dutchman prevailing. Lando Norris is priced at around 2.85 to prevail, suggesting that he has a 35.08% chance of recording his second F1 win in 2024. Lewis Hamilton, who has never won in Zandvoort, is priced as long as 10.00 despite prevailing in two of the last four Grand Prix events this season.
Driver | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Max Verstappen | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.75 |
Lando Norris | 3.50 | 2.85 | 2.85 | 2.85 | 2.87 |
Oscar Piastri | 6.50 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 6.01 |
George Russell | 9.00 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 11.03 |
Charles Leclerc | 10.00 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 21.05 |
Lewis Hamilton | 10.00 | 9.60 | 9.60 | 9.60 | 9.52 |
Carlos Sainz | 13.00 | 35.00 | 35.00 | 35.00 | 34.08 |
Sergio Perez | 26.00 | 40.00 | 40.00 | 40.00 | 41.10 |
🔍 Dutch Grand Prix Betting Tips
In many ways, the Dutch Grand Prix is a throwback to the F1 circuits of old, so it poses a real challenge to drivers and constructors alike. This also means that it can be a difficult race to predict accurately, so I’ve prepared some expert betting tips and insights to help you get started!
- Tip 1: Pick Max Verstappen to Win: While Verstappen is the narrow favourite to prevail in Zandvoort, his average price of 2.75 is quite competitive given the Dutchman’s pedigree and historic performances on the circuit. Notwithstanding his recent form, Verstappen has won seven of the 14 GPs contested in 2024, and 26 of his previous 36 dating back to January 2023 (72.22%). He has also won three consecutive Dutch Grand Prixes since the sport returned to Zandvoort in 2021. He’ll be determined to reverse his losing streak on home soil too, so consider backing Verstappen to win at a price of 3.00 with DirectionBet Sport.
- Tip 2: Back Oscar Piastri to Record a Podium Finish: Piastri ultimately placed second at Belgium’s Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps last time out, after Russell’s dramatic disqualification for having an underweight car. He was in contention throughout in Belgium, while he has also earned three podium finishes in his last four GP outings. This sequence included a superb maiden F1 victory at the Hungarian back on July 21st. The 23-year-old is a viable option in the win market at a price of around 6.50, but you can also back Piastri to achieve yet another podium finish here at a price of 1.61 with 20Bet Sports.
- Tip 3: Back Red Bull as the Winning Constructor: Like Verstappen himself, Red Bull have now gone winless in four races, their longest such losing sequence since 2020. However, they will have also reset and considered some mechanical adjustments during the mid-season break, while they retain the best and arguably quickest car on the circuit. I also expect Verstappen to give Red Bull a further competitive edge at the Zandvoort Circuit, where the Dutchman will benefit from huge swathes of impassioned support. You can back Red Bull as the winning construction team at a price of 2.63 with 20Bet Sports.
💨 My F1 Dutch Grand Prix Prediction
Verstappen’s relative lack of form has created a far more open and competitive Drivers’ Championship, with each of the previous four GPs being won by an average of just +1.671 seconds (and by four different drivers). Certainly, the average winning margin has been reduced during Verstappen’s winless streak, highlighting just how evenly matched the sport’s other leading drivers are.
However, Verstappen performed relatively well in Belgium last time out, ultimately finishing fourth and just +9.850 seconds behind the eventual winner Lewis Hamilton. This was despite the Dutchman receiving a 10-place grid penalty after qualifying, as he fought through the field to earn 12 crucial points and actually increase his lead over Lando Norris in the Drivers’ Championship.
So, he will have entered the mid-season break on a relative high, while he’ll be chomping at the bit to compete in front of his home fans at the Zandvoort Circuit. Here, Verstappen has started in pole position in three consecutive years, triumphing in each of these races by a combined winning margin of +28.747 seconds. So, if he’s able to earn pole position again or start high on the grid, he’ll be difficult to stop in the Netherlands.
Still, Verstappen will probably find it tougher than usual on home soil, especially with Piastri in such good form and Lewis Hamilton benefitting directly from Mercedes’ recent improvements. Verstappen may also be concerned about his own pace after the last race in Belgium, where Piastri, Norris and even teammate Sergio Perez (1:44.701 seconds) all recorded noticeably faster laps.
However, I expect to see a highly motivated and fully focused Verstappen arrive at the Zandvoort Circuit, where he has been completely dominant in recent seasons. He should therefore have too much for his competitors, despite the improvements made by rival drivers and constructors in recent weeks.
My Prediction: 🏆 Max Verstappen to win
🏎️ The Dutch Grand Prix - The Circuit Overview
The first ever motor race in Zandvoort took place during the 1930s, on a temporary and makeshift street circuit. The event was a huge success and widely attended, so officials decided to build a permanent racetrack in the area. The result of this was the Zandvoort Circuit, which hosted the first formal Dutch Grand Prix in August 1949.
Although the track has been integral to the Formula 1 calendar ever since 1952, it has undergone numerous figurations and saw its length extended to 4.259km in 1999. It also went through a more recent, significant upgrade in 2020, which saw the banking angle at the aptly named “Tarzan” corner increased to 18 degrees.
Nowadays, the Zandvoort Circuit is considered to be one of the shortest on the F1 calendar. However, it’s also among the quickest and most challenging, boasting 14 challenging and often tight turns. Turns three and 13 are particularly cambered corners, with the former boasting a 19-degree bank.
Typically, it’s also fast track that suits the most skilled drivers, such as Verstappen, Norris and the talented Piastri. However, its challenging and winding nature means that even the slightest error can prove decisive, especially with drivers reaching top speeds of up to 305km/h on the straights.
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